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City of Pleasanton GHG Inventory, Forecast, and Targets Methodology and Calculations 2 East Bay Energy Watch (EBEW) GHG calculation methodology. These various inventories will assist in the preparation of the Pleasanton CAP Update by tracking progress in specific GHG emission sectors and to forecast future GHG emissions and develop a respective gap analysis that will assist in identifying CAP Update policies that will achieve longer-term GHG emissions targets. 1.1 Regulatory Background The State of California considers GHG emissions and the impacts of global warming to be a serious threat to the public health, environment, economic well-being, and natural resources of California, and has taken an aggressive stance to mitigate the State’s contribution to climate change through the adoption of legislation, plans, and policies, the most relevant of which are summarized below. ▪ Executive Order S-3-05 (2005), signed by former Governor Schwarzenegger in 2005, establishes Statewide GHG emissions reduction goals to achieve longer-term climate stabilization as follows: by 2020, reduce GHG emissions to 1990 levels and by 2050, reduce GHG emissions to 80 percent below 1990 levels. The 2050 goal was accelerated by the 2045 carbon neutral goal established by Executive Order (EO) B-55-18, as discussed below.7 ▪ Assembly Bill 32 (2006), known as the Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006, requires California’s GHG emissions be reduced to 1990 levels by the year 2020 (approximately a 15 percent reduction from 2005 to 2008 levels). The AB 32 Climate Change Scoping Plan, first published in 2008, identifies mandatory and voluntary measures to achieve the Statewide 2020 emissions limit, and encourages local governments to reduce municipal and community GHG emissions proportionate with State goals.8 ▪ Climate Change Scoping Plan (2008), the original California Climate Change Scoping Plan, includes measures to address GHG emission reduction strategies related to energy efficiency, water use, and recycling and solid waste, among other measures. Many of the GHG reduction measures included in the Scoping Plan (e.g., Low Carbon Fuel Standard, Advanced Clean Car standards, and Cap-and-Trade) have been adopted and implemented since approval of the Scoping Plan. ▪ Climate Change Scoping Plan Update (2013), the first update to the California Climate Change Scoping Plan, defines CARB climate change priorities for the next five years and set the groundwork to reach post-2020 Statewide GHG emissions reduction goals. The Scoping Plan Update highlighted California’s progress toward meeting the 2020 GHG emission goals defined in the original Scoping Plan. It also evaluated how to align the State’s longer-term GHG reduction strategies with other State policy priorities, including those for water, waste, natural resources, clean energy, transportation, and land use. ▪ Executive Order B-30-15 (2015) - Establishes Statewide GHG emissions reduction goals of reducing GHG emissions to 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2030. ▪ Senate Bill 32 (2016), signed by former Governor Brown in 2016, codified the Statewide mid-term GHG reduction goal of 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2030. CARB formally adopted an updated Climate Change Scoping Plan in December 2017, laying the roadmap to achieve 2030 goals and giving guidance to achieve substantial progress toward 2050 State goals. 7 Executive Orders are binding only unto State agencies. Accordingly, EO S-03-05 will guide State agencies’ efforts to control and regulate GHG emissions but will have no direct binding effect on local government or private actions. 8 Specifically, the AB 32 Climate Change Scoping Plan states CARB, “encourages local governments to adopt a reduction goal for municipal operations emissions and move toward establishing similar goals for community emissions that parallel the State commitment to reduce GHG emissions by approximately 15 percent from current levels by 2020” (p. 27). “Current” as it pertains to the AB 32 Climate Change Scoping Plan is commonly understood as between 2005 and 2008.