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<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />David Bruzzone <br />June 5, 2025 <br />Page 5 <br />Based on Task 2.1, Workshop 1 – Cybersecurity Controls Assessment and the prior RRA, West Yost will <br />then update estimates of consequences, vulnerabilities, and threat likelihoods for each threat-asset pair. <br />The information produced will be used to calculate the baseline risk for each threat-asset pair. The results <br />will be summarized in the RRA Summary Report. This task includes a detailed evaluation of several hazards <br />as described in the following sections. <br />Climate Change Assessment <br />Once the critical assets are determined and potential consequences evaluated, West Yost will conduct a <br />climate change risk assessment using EPA’s CREAT software application. CREAT was developed by the EPA <br />to assist utility owners and operators with understanding potential climate change threats and assess the <br />related risks to their operations. Results will be compared to other regional and local climate change risk <br />assessments. The results of the analysis will be integrated into the overall RRA to inform the risk and <br />resilience analysis. <br />Seismic Risk Assessment <br />West Yost will develop the seismic risk and consequence analysis for the Maximum Credible Earthquake <br />(MCE) that the City anticipates. This analysis will be based on HAZUS Technical Manual Chapter 8 for <br />non-linear assets (buildings, reservoirs, and pump stations) and the American Lifelines Alliance (ALA) Seismic <br />Guidelines for Pipelines. This represents the best practice for evaluating seismic risk to water systems. <br />Vulnerability Analysis <br />The project team will evaluate the ability of each critical asset and its protective systems to withstand <br />each specified threat or hazard. West Yost will document and account for existing protective systems <br />such as: physical security systems, the City security procedures, backup generators, and existing <br />emergency response capabilities, plans, and protocols. The West Yost team will collect the information <br />to support this portion of the analysis as part of Task 2.1 Data Request. If more information is required, <br />it will be requested through email. <br />Threat Likelihood Analysis <br />West Yost will estimate the threat likelihood (also known as annualized probability or frequency) that <br />a specific threat or hazard will occur for each threat-asset pair retained for analysis. We will use <br />standard information on frequency and severity from sources such as National Oceanic and Atmospheric <br />Administration (NOAA) and United States Geological Survey (USGS), local hazard mitigation plans, and <br />the EPA. The analysis will also account for the utility-specific threat/hazard occurrence information <br />gathered previously. The results will be summarized in the RRA Summary Report. <br />Calculate Risk and Resilience <br />West Yost will calculate risk and resilience for each priority threat-asset pair using the following <br />equation from AWWA’s J100 Standard: <br />Risk = Consequences x Vulnerability x Threat Likelihood (C x V x T) <br />West Yost will also complete the Utility Resilience Index (URI), as presented in AWWA’s J100 Standard. <br />EXHIBIT A <br />Docusign Envelope ID: 0F3360EC-0957-4BAE-961E-506A072901B6