22 - Laserfiche WebLink

Table 3. Alameda County Average Technical and Economic Energy Efficiency Potential Technical Economic Metric Potential Potential Range (%of sales) 21% 16% 18% 15% Potential (GWh) 1,623 1,237 1,391 1,159 Table 3Error! Reference source not found.provides a summary forecast of the market potential for energy efficiency in Alameda County based on this same approach. It is important to note that the difference between technical, economic potential and market potential is that market potential represents the annual rate at which efficient equipment is installed, or the percent of the population that adopts energy efficiency practices. As such, market potential is a smaller value when compared to technical or economic potential because the natural cycle at which equipment burns out and must be replaced tends to regulate the rate at which new, high efficiency equipment can be installed, given reasonable program, market incentives, and assumptions about customer adoption rates. Market potential also recognizes that only a fraction of customers actually install high efficiency systems when it is time to replace equipment. The row labelled" PG&E Goals" represents Alameda County's share of the PG&E 2015 EE program portfolio savings target.50 The row labelled "High Savings Scenario"represents Alameda County's share of the more aggressive energy efficiency scenarios for PG&E as defined by the 2013 CPUC potential study high savings scenario.51 The row labelled "Incremental Potential" is the difference between PG&E's 2015 portfolio goals, and the high savings scenario and represents the total market potential that could be served by CCA administered programs. Table 4. Alameda County Incremental Energy Efficiency Market Potential (GWh) Year 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Alameda Component of PG&E Goals 25.9 35.8 24.6 29.4 41.1 48.2 50.0 25.9 Alameda of High Savings 44.2 59.8 56.6 65.6 71.7 84.2 88.4 44.2 Scenario Incremental Potential 18.3 24.0 32.0 36.3 30.6 36.0 38.4 18.3 50 Net GWh,as defined by the CEC Mid Additional Achievable Energy Efficiency(AAEE)forecast 51 Referred to as the High AAEE Potential Scenario F-21