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Projected Emissions <br />Building off the 2017 GHG emiss'ons inventory, emissions were <br />forecasted into the future, in five-year intervals beginning in 2020 <br />and ending in 2050 (see Appendix B and Figure 4 on page 29 for more <br />information). <br />A Business as Usual (BAU) forecast estimates how emissions <br />would change overtime without the influence of external or <br />internal policies or programs. Population and economic growth <br />are the key drivers of the BAU projection, specifically the growth <br />projected in the City's 2005-2025 General Plan and Association of <br />Bay Government's future demographic forecasts. <br />An Adjusted BAU (ABAU) forecast considers the influence of <br />policies external to Pleasanton—namely SB 100, Title 24 building <br />efficiency standards, and vehicle emission standards—on projected <br />communitywide emissions. These existing and anticipated policies <br />will decrease Pleasanton's local emissions even if the City takes no <br />climate action. <br />In addition to state and federal regulations that affect local emissions, <br />the City is already taking several actions that are anticipated to <br />continue through the life of this plan. These actions are considered <br />existing and ongoing. Some of these actions are GHG mitigating <br />actions and contribute to additional GHG emissions reductions. <br />Existing ongoing actions that were quantified for emission reduction <br />potential are listed in Table 6 to the right. The gap between the 2030 <br />reduction target set by the City (See Section 2.3) and the city's projected <br />emissions (accounting for the adjustments made for the ABAU and <br />considering existing ongoing actions) is the policy focus of the new <br />actions in the CAP 2.0. <br />Table 6. GHG emission reduction estimates for local existing ongoing actions <br />E1. Maintain zero -emissions energy as the default EBCE choice 2,200 <br />for municipal operations <br />E2. Maintain zero -emissions energy as the default EBCE choice <br />for the community <br />E3. Bicycle & Pedestrian Master Plan and Trails Master Plan <br />E4. Regional transit support <br />E5. Complete Streets implementation <br />E6. Housing Element <br />E7. SB 1383 implementation <br />255,700 <br />6,400 <br />5,300 <br />1,000 <br />18,800 <br />135,100 <br />Pleasanton Climate Action Plan 2.0 Section 2. Climate Vulnerability and GHG Emissions 127 <br />