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Future GHG Emissions Forecasts
<br />
<br />Pleasanton Climate Action Plan Update 33
<br />Table 21 Business-as-usual Forecast Scenario Summary by Sector by Target Year
<br />
<br />2017
<br />(MT
<br />CO2e)
<br />2020
<br />(MT
<br />CO2e)
<br />2025
<br />(MT
<br />CO2e)
<br />2030
<br />(MT
<br />CO2e)
<br />2035
<br />(MT
<br />CO2e)
<br />2040
<br />(MT
<br />CO2e)
<br />2045
<br />(MT
<br />CO2e)
<br />2050
<br />(MT
<br />CO2e)
<br />Population 76,748 79,524 80,789 83,014 87,863 92,727 97,859 103,276
<br />Jobs 65,342 65,498 65,759 67,240 72,539 75,431 78,437 81,563
<br />Residential
<br />Electricity 17,571 18,206 18,496 19,005 20,116 21,229 22,404 23,644
<br />Nonresidential
<br />Electricity 30,910 30,984 31,107 31,808 34,315 35,682 37,104 38,583
<br />Direct Access
<br />Electricity 10,700 11,087 11,263 11,574 12,250 12,928 13,643 14,399
<br />Residential Gas 62,647 64,913 65,945 67,762 71,719 75,689 79,879 84,301
<br />Nonresidential Gas 56,181 56,315 56,539 57,813 62,369 64,855 67,440 70,128
<br />Waste 29,358 29,963 30,279 31,044 33,141 34,743 36,425 38,190
<br />Water 1,748 1,785 1,803 1,849 1,974 2,069 2,169 2,275
<br />Wastewater 1,190 1,214 1,227 1,258 1,343 1,408 1,476 1,548
<br />On-Road Passenger
<br />Transportation 202,947 207,680 217,227 226,775 230,882 234,989 239,095 243,202
<br />On-Road
<br />Commercial
<br />Transportation
<br />126,668 126,797 131,035 135,273 140,210 145,147 150,084 155,021
<br />Off-Road
<br />Transportation 48,634 51,830 57,156 62,483 68,600 74,717 80,834 86,951
<br />Total Emissions 588,553 600,774 622,079 646,644 676,918 703,457 730,555 758,242
<br />Emissions Per Capita 7.67 7.55 7.70 7.79 7.70 7.59 7.47 7.34
<br />MT CO2e: metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent; T&D: Transmission and Distribution; Per capita based on population projections
<br />Note: VMT data are provided by the MTC traffic demand model that are based on a variety of factors besides only projected demographic
<br />changes.
<br />4.2 Adjusted Forecast Scenario
<br />Adjustments Due to State Legislation
<br />The adjusted scenario estimates future City of Pleasanton emissions under codified GHG reduction
<br />strategies currently being implemented at the State and federal level. The 2017 Scoping Plan Update
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