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<br /> <br />Page | 25 <br /> <br />Pavement Management Technical Assistance (P-TAP) Round 24 <br />BUDGET SCENARIOS <br />After inspecting the City’s roadway conditions and evaluating the maintenance and rehabilitation <br />needs, the next step in developing a cost-effective maintenance and rehabilitation strategy is to run <br />“what-if” scenarios. The advantage of a pavement management program such as StreetSaver is the <br />ability to forecast the treatments and conditions based on budget constraints or predict future costs <br />based on targeted network PCI goals. The following scenarios have been analyzed: <br /> <br />Scenario 1 – Current Budget <br /> Average funding of $4.1M per year for maintenance and rehabilitation. <br /> PCI decreases to 75 at the end of five years. <br /> Backlog increases from $31.7M to $46.7M at the end of five years. <br /> 71.2% of City streets will have a PCI equal to or greater than 70. <br /> <br />Scenario 2 – Constant PCI <br /> Average funding of $6.1M per year for maintenance and rehabilitation. <br /> PCI remains constant at 77 at the end of five years. <br /> Backlog INcreases from $31.7M to $36.1M at the end of five years. <br /> 75.2% of City streets will have a PCI equal to or greater than 70. <br /> <br />Scenario 3 – Plus 5 PCI Increase <br /> Average funding of $10.5M per year for maintenance and rehabilitation. <br /> PCI increases to 82 PCI at the end of five years. <br /> Backlog decreases from $31.7M to $20.4M at the end of five years. <br /> 88.9% of City streets will have a PCI equal to or greater than 70. <br /> <br />Scenario 4 – Unconstrained Funding <br /> Average funding of $14.9M per year on maintenance and rehabilitation. <br /> PCI will increase to 87 at the end of five years. <br /> Backlog decreases from $31.7M to $1.1M at the end of five years. <br /> 98.5% of City streets will have a PCI equal to or greater than 70. <br /> <br />Scenario 5 – Constant Deferred Maintenance <br /> Average funding of $7.2M per year on maintenance and rehabilitation. <br /> PCI increases to 78 at the end of five years. <br /> Backlog remains constant at $31.7M at the end of five years. <br /> 77.8% of City streets will have a PCI equal to or greater than 70. <br /> <br />Page 193 of 228