Laserfiche WebLink
Draft Memorandum January 22, 2025 <br />East Pleasanton Annexation Fiscal Impact Analysis Page 5 <br /> <br /> <br />x Table 3 documents assumptions related to the projected assessed value of the site under <br />the proposed projects, based on market assumptions provided to EPS by Steelwave LLC as <br />well as additional market research conducted by EPS. The values of the affordable residential <br />units are calculated using assumptions aligned with Pleasanton’s Inclusionary Housing Policy. <br />x Table 4 shows property tax and property tax in lieu of vehicle license fee (VLF) calculations. <br />Based on examples of similar annexation projects, this analysis assumes that Pleasanton will <br />receive an allocation of the base 1 percent property tax equal to the citywide average, which <br />is 25 percent. Property tax in lieu of VLF revenue is based on the pro rata growth in City of <br />Pleasanton assessed value attributable to the projects, over the existing Citywide assessed <br />valuation basis. <br />x Table 5 documents the assumptions and calculations supporting household taxable retail <br />spending potential. New households support retail sales with average expenditure expressed <br />as a weighted sum of household taxable retail spending. The spending estimates differentiate <br />between the single-family homes and ADUs in the Arroyo Lago project, and the market rate <br />and below market rate independent and assisted living units at the East Lakes Project. The <br />Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Expenditure Survey tracks and reports household <br />spending by income and those ratios are used in this analysis. <br />x Table 6 relies on household spending derived in Table 5 to calculate sales tax revenue, and <br />documents additional assumptions and calculations for employee and other on-site taxable <br />spending. Key assumptions include: <br />o 50 percent of new residents’ spending is captured in Pleasanton, and <br />o While the projects will likely generate taxable business-to-business sales as well, <br />this possible sales tax revenue could vary substantially depending on specific <br />commercial tenants and is excluded from this analysis. <br />o Pleasanton’s General Fund receives 0.95 percent of - taxable sales (i.e., the local <br />Bradley-Burns Sales and Use Tax). <br />x Table 7 documents Pleasanton’s other General Fund revenue, which includes revenue from <br />business licenses. Revenue is derived on a per-employee basis. <br />x Table 8 summarizes the City of Pleasanton General Fund expenditures by line item and <br />documents the assumptions and calculations to estimate new General Fund costs resulting <br />from providing services to the projects. The FIA relies on a categorization of the likely <br />budgetary response to changes in demand for services for each department, expressed for <br />fiscal modeling purposes in terms of “fixed expenses” and “variable expenses” within the <br />department budget. EPS uses a per-service-population cost approach to estimate department <br />costs. The variable portion of each department budget is used to determine the per-service- <br />population cost, and per-service-population factors are multiplied by the projected increase <br />in service population generated by the projects. The proposed projects are not expected to <br />generate new capital and technology, overhead, debt service, and other non-departmental <br />expenditure requirements for the General Fund. This analysis provides two sets of <br />assumptions for the variable portion of each department budget, depending on whether the <br />projects are located in the County or are annexed into the City. <br />x Table 9 documents the population, employment, and service population assumptions <br />underlying the FIA. The metrics are sourced directly from the California Department of <br />Page 227 of 749