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Mike Tassano January 31, 2025 <br />Page 22 of 37 <br />A sensitivity analysis was conducted to evaluate when the proposed extension might be needed <br />and whether a partial or two-lane extension would be adequate depending on land use scenarios <br />with a subset of the above projects being built. Projected traffic volumes for each scenario were <br />developed using the City of Pleasanton travel demand model. The following scenarios <br />were analyzed: <br />• Approved (Near-term) Conditions – Projected land use and future roadway improvements <br />based on the City of Pleasanton Model under approved conditions, without the extension. <br />This scenario does not include any of the four development projects under consideration <br />(Kiewit, Arroyo Lago, Senior Residential, and Amazon). <br />• Approved (Near-term) Plus Extension Conditions – Projected land use and future roadway <br />improvements based on the City of Pleasanton Model under approved conditions, with <br />the El Charro extension as proposed (two lanes in each direction). This scenario does not <br />include any of the four development projects. <br />• Alternative 1 – Approved (Near-term) Conditions – Projected land use and future roadway <br />improvements based on the City of Pleasanton Model under approved conditions, <br />without the extension. This scenario includes the first project expected to be <br />developed (Kiewit). <br />• Alternative 1 – Approved (Near-term) Plus Extension Conditions – Projected land use and <br />future roadway improvements based on the City of Pleasanton Model under approved <br />conditions, with the extension. This scenario includes the first project expected to be <br />developed (Kiewit). <br />• Alternative 2 – Approved (Near-term) Conditions – Projected land use and future roadway <br />improvements based on the City of Pleasanton Model under approved conditions, <br />without the extension. This scenario includes the first two projects expected to be <br />developed (Kiewit and Arroyo Lago). <br />• Alternative 2 – Approved (Near-term) Plus Extension Conditions – Projected land use and <br />future roadway improvements based on the City of Pleasanton Model under approved <br />conditions, with the extension. This scenario includes the first two projects expected to be <br />developed (Kiewit and Arroyo Lago). <br />• Alternative 3 – Approved (Near-term) Conditions – Projected land use and future roadway <br />improvements based on the City of Pleasanton Model under approved conditions, <br />without the extension. This scenario includes the first three projects expected to be <br />developed (Kiewit, Arroyo Lago, and Senior Residential). <br />• Alternative 3 – Approved (Near-term) Plus Extension Conditions – Projected land use and <br />future roadway improvements based on the City of Pleasanton Model under approved <br />conditions, with the extension. This scenario includes the first three projects expected to <br />be developed (Kiewit, Arroyo Lago, and Senior Residential). <br />• Alternative 4 – Approved (Near-term) Conditions – Projected land use and future roadway <br />improvements based on the City of Pleasanton Model under approved conditions,