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until the model output reasonably agrees with observed traffic flows_ If necessary for validation, the need <br />for special generators shall be analyzed. <br />CONSULTANT shall analyze transit ridership projections, make comparisons with the data collected in <br />Task 4, and adjust the model to validate transit passenger levels_ <br />End Product <br />The end product of this ' - task will be a validated Tri-Valley travel area forecasting modeL The <br />CONSULTANT shall provide plots and appropriate tabulations for review by the jurisdictions. <br />Task 9: Travel Forecasts <br />Purpose <br />The purpose of thig task is to produce year 2000 and year 2010 forecasts for the Tri--Valley area_ <br />Approach and MethodoloV <br />The CONSULTANT will meet with staff from the Tri-Valley cities, the Authority, the counties, Caltrans, <br />and transit aocncics (BART and LAVTA), to obtain transportation plans that are likely to be Implemented <br />by 2000 and 2010- CONSULTANT shall submit the plan improvements to Alameda County and the <br />Authority for their review and approval for inclusion into the future networks. CONSULTANT shall code <br />plan improvements into the model to develop 2000 and 2010 highway and transit network alternatives for <br />the Tri-Valley area. <br />The corresponding land use and demographic data for 2000 and 2010 developed in Task 3 shall be input <br />into the model to project future traveL <br />The CONSULTANT shall rtm the model to produce the 2000 and 2010 forecasts. CONSULTANT shall <br />check the reasonableness of the forecasts by comparing screenline and link -level data with existing traffic <br />and validated 1990 model output. CONSULTANT shall analyze the following model outputs: <br />AM and PM peak -hour and average daily traffic volumes on freeways and <br />arterials_ <br />AM and PM peak -hour turning movements and level of service projections at <br />selected intersections_ <br />Cooperative Agreement No. 45.01.00 Exhibit A <br />Between Contra Costa Transportation Authority and Page 10 of 13 <br />County of Alameda, Pleasanton, Dublin, and Livermore <br />